BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 18 Overall: (6-2) Overall Strength = 129.09
Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (5-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (6-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home W * * 125.17 34 27 1B 48 (2-6) Eastern Washington -4.97 4.58 11.97
2 09-05-2026 Away L 137.51 7 35 1A 23 (5-1) Arizona 7.37 * -18.43 -35.37
3 09-12-2026 Home W * 134.18 38 28 1B 12 (3-4) Incarnate Word 4.05 -7.36 5.95
4 09-19-2026 Away W * * 119.55 35 23 1B 104 (0-7) Utah Tech -10.59 23.61 22.59
5 09-26-2026 Away L * * 131.28 14 28 1B 3 (6-1) Montana St 1.14 -25.23 -15.14
6 10-03-2026 Away W * * 136.26 38 31 1B 25 (4-3) Idaho St 6.12 -18.49 0.88
7 10-10-2026 Home W * * 134.03 49 44 1B 11 (5-3) Montana 3.89 -10.17 1.11
8 10-17-2026 Home W * * 123.12 38 25 1B 61 (2-5) Portland St -7.02 17.61 20.02
9 10/31/2026 Away * * 1B 44 (3-4) Southern Utah 5.54
10 11/07/2026 Away * * 1B 53 (4-4) Cal Poly SLO 8.16
11 11/14/2026 Home * * 1B 34 (5-3) Weber St 7.48
12 11/21/2026 Home * * 1B 47 (3-5) Northern Colorado 10.91
Averages 130.14 31.6 30.1
Best game: 137.51 = 28 point loss to Arizona
Worst game: 119.55 = 12 point win over Utah Tech
Team stdev: 6.66